Current Price
Rp 13,900
Beras Medium/kg
7-Day Forecast
Rp 14,350
+3.2% predicted
Model Accuracy
94.2%
Based on last 30 days
Volatility Index
Medium
Price fluctuation risk
Supply Shortage in Eastern Indonesia
Impact: High
Upcoming Harvest Season (April)
Impact: Medium
Fuel Price Increase (Transport)
Impact: Medium
Government Rice Stock Release
Impact: Low
Jawa
Current: Rp 12.800/kg
Rp 13.100
+2.3%
Sumatera
Current: Rp 13.200/kg
Rp 13.600
+3.0%
Kalimantan
Current: Rp 14.100/kg
Rp 14.500
+2.8%
Sulawesi
Current: Rp 13.800/kg
Rp 14.200
+2.9%
Papua & Maluku
Current: Rp 17.500/kg
Rp 18.200
+4.0%
Bali & Nusa Tenggara
Current: Rp 14.500/kg
Rp 15.000
+3.4%
About the Prediction Model
Predictions are generated using an ensemble model combining ARIMA, Prophet, and LSTM neural networks. The model is trained on 5 years of historical data including seasonal patterns, weather data, and economic indicators. Confidence intervals represent 80% prediction bounds.